Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.007747 0.008681 0.009703 0.010907 0.012290 0.013834 0.015695
2025-04-06 0.006056 0.007272 0.008713 0.010563 0.012891 0.015748 0.019560
2025-04-13 0.005119 0.006424 0.008055 0.010270 0.013235 0.017123 0.022696
2025-04-20 0.004555 0.005923 0.007707 0.010245 0.013823 0.018782 0.026351
2025-04-27 0.004247 0.005699 0.007666 0.010583 0.014894 0.021189 0.031381
2025-05-04 0.003884 0.005348 0.007398 0.010546 0.015389 0.022787 0.035404
2025-05-11 0.003611 0.005093 0.007226 0.010612 0.016021 0.024642 0.040098
2025-05-18 0.003332 0.004796 0.006959 0.010492 0.016328 0.025991 0.044121
2025-05-25 0.003152 0.004629 0.006866 0.010625 0.017047 0.028097 0.049820
2025-06-01 0.002946 0.004404 0.006660 0.010547 0.017388 0.029575 0.054574
2025-06-08 0.002701 0.004097 0.006296 0.010165 0.017149 0.029964 0.057230
2025-06-15 0.002557 0.003939 0.006160 0.010158 0.017574 0.031631 0.062786
2025-06-22 0.002502 0.003928 0.006275 0.010620 0.018959 0.035424 0.073856
2025-06-29 0.002311 0.003678 0.005967 0.010293 0.018806 0.036133 0.078185
2025-07-06 0.002146 0.003461 0.005698 0.010008 0.018698 0.036910 0.082827
2025-07-13 0.002038 0.003332 0.005573 0.009984 0.019111 0.038862 0.090811
2025-07-20 0.001991 0.003306 0.005629 0.010312 0.020296 0.042719 0.104684
2025-07-27 0.001897 0.003189 0.005509 0.010276 0.020690 0.044808 0.114271
2025-08-03 0.001823 0.003105 0.005441 0.010340 0.021313 0.047543 0.126431
2025-08-10 0.001733 0.002983 0.005294 0.010224 0.021508 0.049241 0.135917
2025-08-17 0.001679 0.002925 0.005265 0.010353 0.022293 0.052585 0.151565
2025-08-24 0.001605 0.002825 0.005146 0.010277 0.022574 0.054640 0.163567
2025-08-31 0.001504 0.002668 0.004904 0.009907 0.022090 0.054526 0.168031